Announce a coalition on Black Friday? Not likely

by Jane Patterson / 13 October, 2017

Winston Peters on election night. Photo / Brad White

I am willing to make one prediction about how things will roll out over the coming days and that is no political party will make an announcement about a new government today- Friday the 13th.

Even if you were not superstitious, the symbolism of confirming a new administration on Black Friday is something any politician would want to avoid.

That prediction is supported, of course, by more practical considerations - that is, New Zealand First leader Winston Peters saying his party's board may not be in a position to even consider a deal until the weekend.

Yesterday was the day Mr Peters has said he would decide on a deal and while he was still working to that deadline, he was allowing himself some room to move - in part because he is dealing with other parties.

Although it was only day five of the talks, everyone now just wants to see a conclusion.

Even the lobbyists are in limbo: "We've got twice as many people to lobby, you've got to hedge your bets," said one coming out of the Labour corridors.

Maybe these talks feel like they have dragged on because of an election campaign that effectively began with Andrew Little's resignation at the start of August, and the focus on the 12 October deadline, rather than the open ended nature of previous coalition talks.

The immediate focus now, though, is for parties to make arrangements to ratify any deal in a timely manner and without compromising the overall agreement.

A deal between National and New Zealand First would be more straightforward, requiring sign off from the board and caucus of each.

Labour faces a more delicate balancing act, as it has to factor in the Greens.

From all accounts, the Greens are not privy to details of the negotiations between Labour and New Zealand First, and vice versa.

As the party with less negotiating power, the Greens are somewhat at the mercy of Labour, despite holding only one seat fewer than New Zealand First, at eight and nine seats respectively.

They are operating on blind faith to some degree, prompting a warning from the former MP Sue Bradford to not "go soft" during the talks.

They will have to call a Special General Meeting of 170 national delegates to ratify the deal, and that is likely to be a 'take it or leave it' situation for those delegates; the reference group is very aware of the limited opportunity to negotiate past that point, and will draft the proposal accordingly.

That meeting may have to be held before a final sign-off between Labour and New Zealand First so Labour can give an assurance that Greens support is not an obstacle to a three-way deal.

And there is still little information about who will actually announce the deal.

Will it be a sole Winston Peters revealing his hand?

Will he appear with the leader or leaders of the chosen parties?

While the latter would not be an unreasonable option, it would certainly remove any suspense and the ability of Mr Peters to keep everyone guessing for just a little bit longer.

Those discussions have apparently not even occurred with the parties he is negotiating with.

But for now all eyes are on the shadowy figures who make up the New Zealand First board.

Their names are not readily available and even after RNZ made their names public yesterday, Mr Peters issued a media release asking that their privacy be respected on the basis they are volunteers, not politicians.

But if that process involves a hand in deciding the next government, they should be prepared for some publicity and a degree of public scrutiny.

This article was originally published by RNZ.


Green MP Eugenie Sage accused of ministerial interference
88686 2018-03-23 07:28:31Z Politics

Green MP Eugenie Sage accused of ministerial inter…

by Benedict Collins

A Green Party MP has been accused of ministerial interference and sticking her nose into staff matters at an independent authority.

Read more
The summer the power went out in Auckland
88683 2018-03-23 06:31:22Z History

The summer the power went out in Auckland

by Justin Gregory

Friday, February 20th. 5.30pm. The last remaining major cable blows up in Mercury Energy's faces. The 1998 Auckland power crisis has begun.

Read more
Air New Zealand stoush highlights pitfalls for coalition government
88681 2018-03-23 06:11:39Z Politics

Air New Zealand stoush highlights pitfalls for coa…

by Jane Patterson

The face-off between the Minister Shane Jones and Air NZ has given voters a peek into the pitfalls that may lie ahead for the coalition government.

Read more
Johann Hari's search to uncover the real causes of depression
88186 2018-03-23 00:00:00Z Social issues

Johann Hari's search to uncover the real causes of…

by Louise Chunn

Stalked by depression for 20 years, Johann Hari couldn’t find the pharmaceutical relief doctors promised. He began asking why.

Read more
Are antidepressant pills really effective?
88211 2018-03-23 00:00:00Z Psychology

Are antidepressant pills really effective?

by Marc Wilson

Johann Hari is right about some things, but effective depression treatment means casting a wide net.

Read more
Win a double pass to Dancing with Mozart thanks to the Royal New Zealand Ballet!
88313 2018-03-23 00:00:00Z Win

Win a double pass to Dancing with Mozart thanks to…

by The Listener

Great music inspires great dance, as the Royal New Zealand Ballet brings works by choreographic titans Jiří Kylián and George Balanchine to NZ.

Read more
What to see, eat and do at Pasifika Festival 2018
88671 2018-03-22 15:44:53Z Where to go in Auckland

What to see, eat and do at Pasifika Festival 2018

by Vomle Springford

The largest Pacific Island cultural festival in the world takes place this weekend at Western Springs Park.

Read more
On the misguided crusade to make bike helmets optional
88652 2018-03-22 11:18:12Z Social issues

On the misguided crusade to make bike helmets opti…

by The Listener

At a time when other sports, notably rugby, are prioritising head-injury prevention, easing up on bicycle helmets is perverse.

Read more